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A NEW METHOD FOR PREDICTING BACTERIAL PNEUMONIA IN PATIENTS WITH INFLUENZA AND OTHER ACUTE RESPIRATORY VIRAL INFECTIONS

https://doi.org/10.21886/2219-8075-2020-11-1-21-26

Abstract

Purpose: to develop an effective and affordable method for a practical doctor to predict the development of bacterial pneumonia in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections.

Materials and methods: to develop a method for predicting bacterial pneumonia in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections, a continuous group of 247 patients was formed: 63 of them were diagnosed with bacterial pneumonia for 5-7 days of illness, and the remaining 184 had verified infectious diseases in uncomplicated form. Evaluation of the effectiveness of the proposed forecast method was performed on 150 patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections. The technical basis of this study was the Extech 110 pH meter, with which the observed acidity of the skin of the lower third of the palmar surface of the forearm was studied on the 1-2, 3-4, 7-10 days of the disease.

Results: the developed method for predicting bacterial pneumonia in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections is characterized by prostate use, as well as high rates of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy.

Conclusions: the pH level of the skin of the palmar surface of the lower third of the forearm in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections of less than 4.80 is a statistically significant prognostic criterion for the development of this category of patients in the next 2-3 days of bacterial pneumonia.

About the Authors

Yu. M. Ambalov
Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Yury М. Ambalov- Dr. Sci. (Med.), professor, Head of the department of infectious diseases.

Rostov-on-Don



D. V. Sizyakin
City Hospital №1 named after N.А. Semashko
Russian Federation

Dmitry V. Sizyakin- Honored Doctor of the Russian Federation, Dr. Sci. (Med.), professor, chief physician.

Rostov-on-Don



I. V. Dudarev
City Hospital №1 named after N.А. Semashko
Russian Federation

Igor V. Dudarev-Honored Doctor of the Russian Federation, Dr. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, deputy chief physician for surgical care.

Rostov-on-Don



D. V. Dontsov
Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Denis V. Dontsov- Dr. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, professor of the Department of Infectious Diseases.

Rostov-on-Don



A. A. Kurdin
Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Alexey A. Kurdin- postgraduate student, Department of Infectious Diseases.

Rostov-on-Don

 



A. P. Kovalenko
Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Anna P. Kovalenko- Cand. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, associate professor of the department of infectious diseases.

Rostov-on-Don



A. V. Usatkin
City Hospital №1 named after N.А. Semashko; Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Alexander V. Usatkin-Cand. Sci. (Med.), head of the infectious diseases department №5, assistant of the department of infectious diseases.

Rostov-on-Don



M. A. Proydakov
Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Mikhail A. Proydakov-Cand. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, associate professor of the department of infectious diseases.

Rostov-on-Don



N. I. Mamedova
Rostov State Medical University
Russian Federation

Nonna I. Mamedova- Cand. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, associate professor of the department of infectious diseases.

Rostov-on-Don



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Review

For citations:


Ambalov Yu.M., Sizyakin D.V., Dudarev I.V., Dontsov D.V., Kurdin A.A., Kovalenko A.P., Usatkin A.V., Proydakov M.A., Mamedova N.I. A NEW METHOD FOR PREDICTING BACTERIAL PNEUMONIA IN PATIENTS WITH INFLUENZA AND OTHER ACUTE RESPIRATORY VIRAL INFECTIONS. Medical Herald of the South of Russia. 2020;11(1):21-26. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21886/2219-8075-2020-11-1-21-26

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ISSN 2219-8075 (Print)
ISSN 2618-7876 (Online)