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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">mvjr</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Медицинский вестник Юга России</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Medical Herald of the South of Russia</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2219-8075</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2618-7876</issn><publisher><publisher-name>The Rostov State Medical University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21886/2219-8075-2020-11-1-21-26</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">mvjr-1038</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОРИГИНАЛЬНЫЕ СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ORIGINAL ARTICLES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>НОВЫЙ СПОСОБ ПРОГНОЗА БАКТЕРИАЛЬНОЙ ПНЕВМОНИИ У БОЛЬНЫХ ГРИППОМ  И ДРУГИМИ ОСТРЫМИ РЕСПИРАТОРНО-ВИРУСНЫМИ ИНФЕКЦИЯМИ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>A NEW METHOD FOR PREDICTING BACTERIAL PNEUMONIA IN PATIENTS WITH INFLUENZA  AND OTHER ACUTE RESPIRATORY VIRAL INFECTIONS</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Амбалов</surname><given-names>Ю. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ambalov</surname><given-names>Yu. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Амбалов Юрий Михайлович — д.м.н., профессор, заведующий кафедрой инфекционных болезней.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Yury М. Ambalov- Dr. Sci. (Med.), professor, Head of the department of infectious diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">skibairo@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сизякин</surname><given-names>Д. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Sizyakin</surname><given-names>D. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Сизякин Дмитрий Владимирович — Заслуженный Врач Российской Федерации, д.м.н., профессор, главный врач.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dmitry V. Sizyakin- Honored Doctor of the Russian Federation, Dr. Sci. (Med.), professor, chief physician.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">center@gb-1.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Дударев</surname><given-names>И. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dudarev</surname><given-names>I. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Дударев Игорь Валентинович — Заслуженный Врач Российской Федерации, д.м.н., доцент, заместитель главного врача по хирургической помощи.</p><p>Ростовна-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Igor V. Dudarev-Honored Doctor of the Russian Federation, Dr. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, deputy chief physician for surgical care.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">center@gb-1.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4938-2962</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Донцов</surname><given-names>Д. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dontsov</surname><given-names>D. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Донцов Денис Владимирович — д.м.н., доцент, профессор кафедры инфекционных болезней. </p><p>Ростовна-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Denis V. Dontsov- Dr. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, professor of the Department of Infectious Diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Курдин</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kurdin</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Курдин Алексей Александрович — аспирант кафедры инфекционных болезней.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexey A. Kurdin- postgraduate student, Department of Infectious Diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p><p> </p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kurdin13@rambler.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Коваленко</surname><given-names>А. П.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kovalenko</surname><given-names>A. P.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Коваленко Анна Петровна — к.м.н., доцент, доцент кафедры инфекционных болезней.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Anna P. Kovalenko- Cand. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, associate professor of the department of infectious diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">skibairo@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Усаткин</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Usatkin</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Усаткин Александр Васильевич — к.м.н., заведующий инфекционным отделением №5, ассистент кафедры инфекционных болезней.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexander V. Usatkin-Cand. Sci. (Med.), head of the infectious diseases department №5, assistant of the department of infectious diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">skibairo@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пройдаков</surname><given-names>М. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Proydakov</surname><given-names>M. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Пройдаков Михаил Андреевич — к.м.н., доцент, доцент кафедры инфекционных болезней.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mikhail A. Proydakov-Cand. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, associate professor of the department of infectious diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">skibairo@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мамедова</surname><given-names>Н. И.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mamedova</surname><given-names>N. I.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Мамедова Нонна Ильясона — к.м.н., доцент, доцент кафедры инфекционных болезней.</p><p>Ростов-на-Дону</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Nonna I. Mamedova- Cand. Sci. (Med.), associate professor, associate professor of the department of infectious diseases.</p><p>Rostov-on-Don</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">skibairo@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Ростовский государственный медицинский университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Rostov State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Городская больница №1 им. Н.А. Семашко</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>City Hospital №1 named after N.А. Semashko</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Городская больница №1 им. Н.А. Семашко; Ростовский государственный медицинский университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>City Hospital №1 named after N.А. Semashko; Rostov State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2020</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>30</day><month>03</month><year>2020</year></pub-date><volume>11</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>21</fpage><lpage>26</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Амбалов Ю.М., Сизякин Д.В., Дударев И.В., Донцов Д.В., Курдин А.А., Коваленко А.П., Усаткин А.В., Пройдаков М.А., Мамедова Н.И., 2020</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2020</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Амбалов Ю.М., Сизякин Д.В., Дударев И.В., Донцов Д.В., Курдин А.А., Коваленко А.П., Усаткин А.В., Пройдаков М.А., Мамедова Н.И.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Ambalov Y.M., Sizyakin D.V., Dudarev I.V., Dontsov D.V., Kurdin A.A., Kovalenko A.P., Usatkin A.V., Proydakov M.A., Mamedova N.I.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.medicalherald.ru/jour/article/view/1038">https://www.medicalherald.ru/jour/article/view/1038</self-uri><abstract><sec><title>Цель</title><p>Цель: разработать эффективный и доступный для практического врача способ прогноза развития бактериальной пневмонии у больных гриппом и другими острыми респираторными вирусными инфекциями.</p></sec><sec><title>Материалы и методы</title><p> Материалы и методы: для разработки способа прогноза бактериальной пневмонии у больных гриппом и другими острыми респираторными вирусными инфекциями сплошным методом была сформирована группа из 247 пациентов. У 63-х из них на 5–7 день заболевания диагносцировали развитие бактериальной пневмонии, у оставшихся 184 — верифицированные инфекционные заболевания протекали в неосложненной форме. Оценка эффективности предложенного способа прогноза была выполнена на 150 больных гриппом и другими острыми респираторными вирусными инфекциями. Технической базой данного исследования явился рН-метр «Extech 110», с помощью которого у наблюдавшихся пациентов был исследован уровень кислотности кожи нижней трети ладонной поверхности предплечья на 1–2, 3–4, 7–10 сутки заболевания.</p></sec><sec><title>Результаты</title><p>Результаты: разработанный способ прогноза бактериальной пневмонии у больных гриппом и другими острыми респираторными вирусными инфекциями характеризуется простотой использования, а также высокими показателями чувствительности, специфичности и точности.</p></sec><sec><title>Выводы</title><p>Выводы: уровень рН кожи ладонной поверхности нижней трети предплечья у больных гриппом и другими острыми респираторными вирусными инфекциями менее 4,80 является статистически значимым прогностическим критерием развития у данной категории пациентов в ближайшие 2–3 дня бактериальной пневмонии.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Purpose</title><p>Purpose: to develop an effective and affordable method for a practical doctor to predict the development of bacterial pneumonia in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections.</p></sec><sec><title>Materials and methods</title><p> Materials and methods: to develop a method for predicting bacterial pneumonia in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections, a continuous group of 247 patients was formed: 63 of them were diagnosed with bacterial pneumonia for 5-7 days of illness, and the remaining 184 had verified infectious diseases in uncomplicated form. Evaluation of the effectiveness of the proposed forecast method was performed on 150 patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections. The technical basis of this study was the Extech 110 pH meter, with which the observed acidity of the skin of the lower third of the palmar surface of the forearm was studied on the 1-2, 3-4, 7-10 days of the disease.</p></sec><sec><title>Results</title><p> Results: the developed method for predicting bacterial pneumonia in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections is characterized by prostate use, as well as high rates of sensitivity, specificity and accuracy.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title><p>Conclusions: the pH level of the skin of the palmar surface of the lower third of the forearm in patients with influenza and other acute respiratory viral infections of less than 4.80 is a statistically significant prognostic criterion for the development of this category of patients in the next 2-3 days of bacterial pneumonia.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>грипп</kwd><kwd>острые респираторные вирусные инфекции</kwd><kwd>бактериальная пневмония</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>influenza</kwd><kwd>acute respiratory viral infections</kwd><kwd>bacterial pneumonia</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Brooke-Pearce F., Demertzi E. 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